Benchmark diagnostics / cost & information
What does a benchmark tell us?
Compare execution cost with how often measured models differ in correctness—and how stable their score gap is within the pilot.
Cost and coverage
| Benchmark | Compatible models | GPU lease time | Evaluation elapsed | Process GPU-slot time | Demand priority | Paired evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HumanEval 32-example pilot · pass@1 | 2 | Not reliably recorded 0/2 runs · claim → finish | 128.8s | Not recorded 0/2 completed runs instrumented | 54.5 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| GSM8K 32-example pilot · exact_match | 2 | 40 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 27.0s | 38.4 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 34.7 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| BoolQ 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 21 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 3.3s | 15.2 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 0.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| HellaSwag 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 9 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 3.0s | 9.0 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 6.9 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| SST-2 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 21 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 2.7s | 15.2 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 0.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| SNLI 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 15 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 2.8s | 14.4 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 0.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| STS Benchmark 32-example pilot · spearman | 1 | Not reliably recorded 0/1 runs · claim → finish | 0.9s | Not recorded 0/1 completed runs instrumented | 32.6 interest + coverage / freshness | At least two compatible models are required. |
| IAM lines 32-example pilot · cer | 1 | Not reliably recorded 0/1 runs · claim → finish | 8.4s | Not recorded 0/1 completed runs instrumented | 35.1 interest + coverage / freshness | At least two compatible models are required. |
| LibriSpeech test-clean 32-example pilot · wer | 1 | Not reliably recorded 0/1 runs · claim → finish | 5.0s | Not recorded 0/1 completed runs instrumented | 42.0 interest + coverage / freshness | At least two compatible models are required. |
| CIFAR-10 32-example pilot · accuracy | 1 | Not reliably recorded 0/1 runs · claim → finish | 2.0s | Not recorded 0/1 completed runs instrumented | 35.1 interest + coverage / freshness | At least two compatible models are required. |
| AI2 ARC-Challenge (test) 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 9 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 3.1s | 9.0 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 7.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| OpenBookQA main (test) 32-example pilot · accuracy | 2 | 12 GPU-s 2/2 runs · claim → finish | 4.1s | 10.3 GPU-s 2/2 completed runs instrumented | 0.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 1 aligned pairs |
| ARC-Easy 32-example pilot · accuracy | 11 | 55 GPU-s 11/11 runs · claim → finish | 20.9s | 53.3 GPU-s 11/11 completed runs instrumented | 1000.0 interest + coverage / freshness | 55 aligned pairs |
| HellaSwag 32-example pilot · accuracy | 11 | 55 GPU-s 11/11 runs · claim → finish | 20.9s | 53.4 GPU-s 11/11 completed runs instrumented | 1006.9 interest + coverage / freshness | 55 aligned pairs |
| BoolQ 32-example pilot · accuracy | 11 | 82 GPU-s 11/11 runs · claim → finish | 18.1s | 80.2 GPU-s 11/11 completed runs instrumented | 1006.9 interest + coverage / freshness | 55 aligned pairs |
Does changing the model change the answer quality?
For binary metrics, align example IDs and reference answers within the same scope. A “separating” example passes for one model and fails for the other. A/B order is fixed by model ID and revision, not chosen by the winning score.
| Benchmark / pair | Separating examples | Δ score · B − A | 95% resampling interval | Exact McNemar p | Pilot reading |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HumanEval | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 0 · B only: 4 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 8 | 12.5 pp | [3.1, 25.0] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| GSM8K | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 0 · both fail: 28 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 5 · B only: 5 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 5 | 0.0 pp | [-18.8, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 2 · B only: 6 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 14 | 12.5 pp | [-3.1, 28.1] pp | 0.289 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| SST-2 | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 11 · B only: 1 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 1 | -31.3 pp | [-50.0, -12.5] pp | 0.006 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| SNLI | 0/32 · 0.0% A only: 0 · B only: 0 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 20 | 0.0 pp | [0.0, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| AI2 ARC-Challenge (test) | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 1 · B only: 6 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 16 | 15.6 pp | [0.0, 31.3] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| OpenBookQA main (test) | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 17 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 8 · B only: 4 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 10 | -12.5 pp | [-34.4, 9.4] pp | 0.388 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 4 · B only: 5 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 9 | 3.1 pp | [-15.6, 21.9] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 6 · B only: 6 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 8 | 0.0 pp | [-21.9, 21.9] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 4 · B only: 6 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 8 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 7 · B only: 1 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 13 | -18.8 pp | [-34.4, -3.1] pp | 0.070 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 4 · B only: 6 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 8 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 14/32 · 43.8% A only: 9 · B only: 5 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 9 | -12.5 pp | [-34.4, 9.4] pp | 0.424 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 1 · B only: 8 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 6 | 21.9 pp | [6.3, 37.5] pp | 0.039 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 5 · B only: 7 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 7 | 6.3 pp | [-15.6, 28.1] pp | 0.774 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 4 · B only: 6 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 8 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 2 · B only: 7 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 11 | 15.6 pp | [-3.1, 34.4] pp | 0.180 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 14/32 · 43.8% A only: 5 · B only: 9 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 9 | 12.5 pp | [-9.4, 34.4] pp | 0.424 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 3 · B only: 9 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 9 | 18.8 pp | [-3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.146 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 7 · B only: 5 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 13 | -6.3 pp | [-28.1, 15.6] pp | 0.774 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 3 · B only: 9 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 9 | 18.8 pp | [-3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.146 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 6 · B only: 6 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 12 | 0.0 pp | [-21.9, 21.9] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 0 · B only: 11 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 7 | 34.4 pp | [18.8, 50.0] pp | <0.001 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 14/32 · 43.8% A only: 4 · B only: 10 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 8 | 18.8 pp | [-3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.180 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 3 · B only: 9 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 9 | 18.8 pp | [-3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.146 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 4 · B only: 3 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 10 | -3.1 pp | [-18.8, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 9 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 13/32 · 40.6% A only: 10 · B only: 3 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 10 | -21.9 pp | [-43.8, 0.0] pp | 0.092 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 9 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 7 · B only: 2 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 11 | -15.6 pp | [-34.4, 3.1] pp | 0.180 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 1 · B only: 7 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 6 | 18.8 pp | [3.1, 34.4] pp | 0.070 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 9 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 10 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 11 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 8 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 12 | -18.8 pp | [-37.5, 0.0] pp | 0.109 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 11 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 6 · B only: 2 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 12 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 3.1] pp | 0.289 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 0 · B only: 7 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 7 | 21.9 pp | [9.4, 37.5] pp | 0.016 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 0 · B only: 2 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 12 | 6.3 pp | [0.0, 15.6] pp | 0.500 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 0 · B only: 2 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 12 | 6.3 pp | [0.0, 15.6] pp | 0.500 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 8 · B only: 0 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 12 | -25.0 pp | [-40.6, -12.5] pp | 0.008 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 0/32 · 0.0% A only: 0 · B only: 0 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 12 | 0.0 pp | [0.0, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 8 · B only: 2 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 10 | -18.8 pp | [-37.5, 0.0] pp | 0.109 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 1 · B only: 6 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 6 | 15.6 pp | [0.0, 31.3] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 1 · B only: 1 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 11 | 0.0 pp | [-9.4, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 10 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 0 · B only: 8 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 12 | 25.0 pp | [12.5, 40.6] pp | 0.008 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 3 · B only: 5 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 15 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.727 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 13/32 · 40.6% A only: 0 · B only: 13 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 7 | 40.6 pp | [25.0, 59.4] pp | <0.001 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 1 · B only: 9 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 11 | 25.0 pp | [9.4, 43.8] pp | 0.021 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 1 · B only: 9 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 11 | 25.0 pp | [9.4, 43.8] pp | 0.021 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 8 · B only: 2 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 10 | -18.8 pp | [-37.5, 0.0] pp | 0.109 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 1 · B only: 6 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 6 | 15.6 pp | [0.0, 31.3] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 1 · B only: 1 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 11 | 0.0 pp | [-9.4, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 10 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 0 · B only: 11 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 7 | 34.4 pp | [18.8, 50.0] pp | <0.001 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 2 · B only: 8 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 10 | 18.8 pp | [0.0, 37.5] pp | 0.109 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 2 · B only: 8 Both pass: 12 · both fail: 10 | 18.8 pp | [0.0, 37.5] pp | 0.109 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 6 · B only: 1 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 6 | -15.6 pp | [-31.3, 0.0] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 5 · B only: 0 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 7 | -15.6 pp | [-28.1, -3.1] pp | 0.063 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| ARC-Easy | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 1 · B only: 1 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 11 | 0.0 pp | [-9.4, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 1 · B only: 7 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 16 | 18.8 pp | [3.1, 34.4] pp | 0.070 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 0 · B only: 4 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 19 | 12.5 pp | [3.1, 25.0] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 20 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 20 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 3/32 · 9.4% A only: 0 · B only: 3 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 20 | 9.4 pp | [0.0, 21.9] pp | 0.250 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 20 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 1 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 20 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 18.8] pp | 0.625 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 3 · B only: 5 Both pass: 6 · both fail: 18 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.727 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 1 · B only: 4 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 19 | 9.4 pp | [-3.1, 21.9] pp | 0.375 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 2 · B only: 4 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 19 | 6.3 pp | [-9.4, 21.9] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 15 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 6 · B only: 1 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 16 | -15.6 pp | [-31.3, 0.0] pp | 0.125 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 14 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 6 · B only: 3 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 14 | -9.4 pp | [-28.1, 9.4] pp | 0.508 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 14 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 14 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 14 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 5 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 15 | -9.4 pp | [-25.0, 6.3] pp | 0.453 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 6 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 15 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 3.1] pp | 0.289 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 4 · B only: 1 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | -9.4 pp | [-25.0, 3.1] pp | 0.375 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 17 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 3 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 17 | -3.1 pp | [-15.6, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 17 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 17 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 5 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 16 | -6.3 pp | [-25.0, 9.4] pp | 0.727 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 3 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 17 | -3.1 pp | [-18.8, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 17 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 19 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 2 · B only: 4 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 18 | 6.3 pp | [-6.3, 21.9] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 19 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 18 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 3/32 · 9.4% A only: 1 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 20 | 3.1 pp | [-6.3, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 0 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 20 | 6.3 pp | [0.0, 15.6] pp | 0.500 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 1/32 · 3.1% A only: 0 · B only: 1 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 21 | 3.1 pp | [0.0, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 1/32 · 3.1% A only: 0 · B only: 1 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 20 | 3.1 pp | [0.0, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 0/32 · 0.0% A only: 0 · B only: 0 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 21 | 0.0 pp | [0.0, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 3 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 18 | 0.0 pp | [-15.6, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 19 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 19 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 1/32 · 3.1% A only: 1 · B only: 0 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 20 | -3.1 pp | [-9.4, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 3 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | -3.1 pp | [-15.6, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 3 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | -3.1 pp | [-18.8, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 18 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 3 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | -3.1 pp | [-15.6, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 3 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 18 | 0.0 pp | [-15.6, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 19 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 2 · B only: 3 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 18 | 3.1 pp | [-9.4, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 4/32 · 12.5% A only: 2 · B only: 2 Both pass: 9 · both fail: 19 | 0.0 pp | [-12.5, 12.5] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 3 · B only: 3 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 18 | 0.0 pp | [-15.6, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 17 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 4 · B only: 4 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 17 | 0.0 pp | [-18.8, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 3/32 · 9.4% A only: 1 · B only: 2 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 19 | 3.1 pp | [-6.3, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 2/32 · 6.3% A only: 1 · B only: 1 Both pass: 10 · both fail: 20 | 0.0 pp | [-9.4, 9.4] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| HellaSwag | 1/32 · 3.1% A only: 1 · B only: 0 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 20 | -3.1 pp | [-9.4, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 1 · B only: 5 Both pass: 6 · both fail: 20 | 12.5 pp | [0.0, 28.1] pp | 0.219 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 22/32 · 68.8% A only: 3 · B only: 19 Both pass: 4 · both fail: 6 | 50.0 pp | [28.1, 71.9] pp | <0.001 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 27/32 · 84.4% A only: 6 · B only: 21 Both pass: 1 · both fail: 4 | 46.9 pp | [18.8, 71.9] pp | 0.006 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 19/32 · 59.4% A only: 4 · B only: 15 Both pass: 3 · both fail: 10 | 34.4 pp | [12.4, 56.3] pp | 0.019 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 27/32 · 84.4% A only: 5 · B only: 22 Both pass: 2 · both fail: 3 | 53.1 pp | [25.0, 78.1] pp | 0.002 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 19/32 · 59.4% A only: 4 · B only: 15 Both pass: 3 · both fail: 10 | 34.4 pp | [12.4, 56.3] pp | 0.019 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 25/32 · 78.1% A only: 5 · B only: 20 Both pass: 2 · both fail: 5 | 46.9 pp | [18.8, 71.9] pp | 0.004 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 17/32 · 53.1% A only: 4 · B only: 13 Both pass: 3 · both fail: 12 | 28.1 pp | [3.1, 50.0] pp | 0.049 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 24/32 · 75.0% A only: 3 · B only: 21 Both pass: 4 · both fail: 4 | 56.3 pp | [31.3, 78.1] pp | <0.001 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 21/32 · 65.6% A only: 4 · B only: 17 Both pass: 3 · both fail: 8 | 40.6 pp | [15.6, 62.5] pp | 0.007 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 18/32 · 56.3% A only: 3 · B only: 15 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 6 | 37.5 pp | [12.5, 59.4] pp | 0.008 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 21/32 · 65.6% A only: 5 · B only: 16 Both pass: 6 · both fail: 5 | 34.4 pp | [6.3, 59.4] pp | 0.027 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 4 · B only: 11 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 10 | 21.9 pp | [0.0, 43.8] pp | 0.118 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 23/32 · 71.9% A only: 5 · B only: 18 Both pass: 6 · both fail: 3 | 40.6 pp | [12.5, 65.6] pp | 0.011 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 4 · B only: 11 Both pass: 7 · both fail: 10 | 21.9 pp | [0.0, 43.8] pp | 0.118 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 25/32 · 78.1% A only: 7 · B only: 18 Both pass: 4 · both fail: 3 | 34.4 pp | [6.3, 62.5] pp | 0.043 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 3 · B only: 8 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 13 | 15.6 pp | [-3.1, 34.4] pp | 0.227 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 20/32 · 62.5% A only: 3 · B only: 17 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 4 | 43.8 pp | [18.8, 65.6] pp | 0.003 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 3 · B only: 12 Both pass: 8 · both fail: 9 | 28.1 pp | [6.3, 50.0] pp | 0.035 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 8 · B only: 7 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 2 | -3.1 pp | [-25.0, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 10 · B only: 5 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 4 | -15.6 pp | [-37.5, 6.3] pp | 0.302 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 13/32 · 40.6% A only: 6 · B only: 7 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 2 | 3.1 pp | [-18.8, 25.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 10 · B only: 5 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 4 | -15.6 pp | [-37.5, 6.3] pp | 0.302 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 15/32 · 46.9% A only: 8 · B only: 7 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 2 | -3.1 pp | [-25.0, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 13/32 · 40.6% A only: 10 · B only: 3 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 6 | -21.9 pp | [-43.8, 0.0] pp | 0.092 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 16/32 · 50.0% A only: 7 · B only: 9 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 0 | 6.3 pp | [-18.8, 31.3] pp | 0.804 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 17/32 · 53.1% A only: 10 · B only: 7 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 2 | -9.4 pp | [-34.4, 15.6] pp | 0.629 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 7 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 2 · B only: 4 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 6 | 6.3 pp | [-9.4, 21.9] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 7 · B only: 3 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 7 | -12.5 pp | [-31.3, 6.3] pp | 0.344 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 3 · B only: 3 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 7 | 0.0 pp | [-15.6, 15.6] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 9 · B only: 3 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 7 | -18.8 pp | [-40.6, 0.0] pp | 0.146 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 1 · B only: 4 Both pass: 21 · both fail: 6 | 9.4 pp | [-3.1, 21.9] pp | 0.375 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 8 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 1 · B only: 7 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 7 | 18.8 pp | [3.1, 34.4] pp | 0.070 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 0/32 · 0.0% A only: 0 · B only: 0 Both pass: 18 · both fail: 14 | 0.0 pp | [0.0, 0.0] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 4 · B only: 8 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 6 | 12.5 pp | [-6.3, 34.4] pp | 0.388 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 5 · B only: 3 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 11 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 12.5] pp | 0.727 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 2 · B only: 9 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 5 | 21.9 pp | [3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.065 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 4 · B only: 6 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 8 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 7 · B only: 1 Both pass: 17 · both fail: 7 | -18.8 pp | [-34.4, -3.1] pp | 0.070 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 4 · B only: 2 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 6 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 9.4] pp | 0.688 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 14/32 · 43.8% A only: 11 · B only: 3 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 5 | -25.0 pp | [-46.9, -3.1] pp | 0.057 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 7/32 · 21.9% A only: 3 · B only: 4 Both pass: 21 · both fail: 4 | 3.1 pp | [-12.5, 18.8] pp | 1.000 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 8 · B only: 4 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 4 | -12.5 pp | [-34.4, 9.4] pp | 0.388 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 12/32 · 37.5% A only: 4 · B only: 8 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 6 | 12.5 pp | [-6.3, 34.4] pp | 0.388 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 8/32 · 25.0% A only: 5 · B only: 3 Both pass: 13 · both fail: 11 | -6.3 pp | [-21.9, 12.5] pp | 0.727 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 2 · B only: 9 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 5 | 21.9 pp | [3.1, 40.6] pp | 0.065 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 4 · B only: 6 Both pass: 14 · both fail: 8 | 6.3 pp | [-12.5, 25.0] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 16/32 · 50.0% A only: 11 · B only: 5 Both pass: 11 · both fail: 5 | -18.8 pp | [-43.8, 6.3] pp | 0.210 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 9/32 · 28.1% A only: 3 · B only: 6 Both pass: 19 · both fail: 4 | 9.4 pp | [-9.4, 28.1] pp | 0.508 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 10/32 · 31.3% A only: 6 · B only: 4 Both pass: 16 · both fail: 6 | -6.3 pp | [-25.0, 12.5] pp | 0.754 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 11/32 · 34.4% A only: 1 · B only: 10 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 6 | 28.1 pp | [9.4, 46.9] pp | 0.012 exploratory · unadjusted | Separation supported in this pilot Resampling excludes zero and the exact paired test has p < 0.05; exploratory, not adjusted. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 6/32 · 18.8% A only: 1 · B only: 5 Both pass: 15 · both fail: 11 | 12.5 pp | [0.0, 28.1] pp | 0.219 exploratory · unadjusted | Inconclusive gap Zero remains inside the interval; this pilot does not establish a directional difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
| BoolQ | 5/32 · 15.6% A only: 5 · B only: 0 Both pass: 20 · both fail: 7 | -15.6 pp | [-28.1, -3.1] pp | 0.063 exploratory · unadjusted | Exploratory interval only Resampling excludes zero, but the exact paired test does not resolve the difference. Mixed difficulty for this pair |
Plan a meaningful comparison
Choose an improvement for this task before running a confirmatory evaluation. Planning target: 80% power, two-sided α = 0.05. These are plug-in normal approximations from pilot variance, not measured power.
| Benchmark / target pair | Current paired SE | Approx. detectable change at current n | Nominal items for 5 pp | Projected evaluation cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HumanEval Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 5.94 pp | 16.6 pp | 355 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | 23.4 pair-minutes Projected evaluator wall time; fixed setup + mean per-item time. |
| GSM8K Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 10.04 pp | 28.1 pp | 1013 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 8.70 pp | 24.4 pp | 760 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| SST-2 Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| SNLI Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 0.00 pp | Not estimable from zero observed variance | Not estimable No observed variance does not prove equivalence or perfect power. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| AI2 ARC-Challenge (test) Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 7.92 pp | 22.2 pp | 630 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| OpenBookQA main (test) Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct | 10.77 pp | 30.2 pp | 1165 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 9.51 pp | 26.6 pp | 909 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 11.00 pp | 30.8 pp | 1216 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 8.32 pp | 23.3 pp | 697 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 11.67 pp | 32.7 pp | 1368 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.68 pp | 24.3 pp | 757 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 10.94 pp | 30.7 pp | 1203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 9.10 pp | 25.5 pp | 833 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 11.67 pp | 32.7 pp | 1368 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 10.47 pp | 29.3 pp | 1102 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 10.94 pp | 30.7 pp | 1203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 10.47 pp | 29.3 pp | 1102 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 11.00 pp | 30.8 pp | 1216 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.53 pp | 23.9 pp | 732 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 11.39 pp | 31.9 pp | 1304 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 10.47 pp | 29.3 pp | 1102 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 10.75 pp | 30.1 pp | 1162 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 9.10 pp | 25.5 pp | 833 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.32 pp | 23.3 pp | 697 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 8.70 pp | 24.4 pp | 760 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 7.42 pp | 20.8 pp | 554 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 4.35 pp | 12.2 pp | 190 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 4.35 pp | 12.2 pp | 190 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 0.00 pp | Not estimable from zero observed variance | Not estimable No observed variance does not prove equivalence or perfect power. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 7.92 pp | 22.2 pp | 630 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 4.49 pp | 12.6 pp | 203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 8.91 pp | 25.0 pp | 798 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.82 pp | 24.7 pp | 782 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 8.98 pp | 25.2 pp | 811 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 8.98 pp | 25.2 pp | 811 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 7.92 pp | 22.2 pp | 630 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 4.49 pp | 12.6 pp | 203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.53 pp | 23.9 pp | 732 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 9.46 pp | 26.5 pp | 899 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 7.92 pp | 22.2 pp | 630 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.52 pp | 18.3 pp | 428 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| ARC-Easy SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 4.49 pp | 12.6 pp | 203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct | 8.32 pp | 23.3 pp | 697 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 5.94 pp | 16.6 pp | 355 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 5.24 pp | 14.7 pp | 276 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 6.25 pp | 17.5 pp | 393 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.91 pp | 25.0 pp | 798 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 6.90 pp | 19.3 pp | 478 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 7.92 pp | 22.2 pp | 630 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 9.38 pp | 26.3 pp | 883 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 8.23 pp | 23.1 pp | 681 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 8.70 pp | 24.4 pp | 760 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 6.90 pp | 19.3 pp | 478 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.91 pp | 25.0 pp | 798 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 5.47 pp | 15.3 pp | 301 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 4.35 pp | 12.2 pp | 190 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 3.13 pp | 8.8 pp | 99 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 3.13 pp | 8.8 pp | 99 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 0.00 pp | Not estimable from zero observed variance | Not estimable No observed variance does not prove equivalence or perfect power. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 3.13 pp | 8.8 pp | 99 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 7.08 pp | 19.8 pp | 504 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.35 pp | 17.8 pp | 406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 8.98 pp | 25.2 pp | 811 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 5.47 pp | 15.3 pp | 301 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 4.49 pp | 12.6 pp | 203 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| HellaSwag SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 3.13 pp | 8.8 pp | 99 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct | 7.45 pp | 20.9 pp | 558 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 11.88 pp | 33.3 pp | 1418 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 14.19 pp | 39.7 pp | 2023 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 12.39 pp | 34.7 pp | 1542 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 13.46 pp | 37.7 pp | 1820 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 12.39 pp | 34.7 pp | 1542 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 13.46 pp | 37.7 pp | 1820 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 12.08 pp | 33.8 pp | 1466 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 11.83 pp | 33.1 pp | 1406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-135M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 12.59 pp | 35.3 pp | 1592 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct | 11.67 pp | 32.7 pp | 1368 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 13.17 pp | 36.9 pp | 1744 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 11.65 pp | 32.6 pp | 1365 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 13.36 pp | 37.4 pp | 1795 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 11.65 pp | 32.6 pp | 1365 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 14.63 pp | 41.0 pp | 2149 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 10.15 pp | 28.4 pp | 1035 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 11.83 pp | 33.1 pp | 1406 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ HuggingFaceTB/SmolLM2-360M-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 11.21 pp | 31.4 pp | 1263 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 | 12.28 pp | 34.4 pp | 1516 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 11.97 pp | 33.5 pp | 1441 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 11.43 pp | 32.0 pp | 1314 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 11.97 pp | 33.5 pp | 1441 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 12.28 pp | 34.4 pp | 1516 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 10.75 pp | 30.1 pp | 1162 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 12.65 pp | 35.4 pp | 1608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B-Instruct ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 12.98 pp | 36.4 pp | 1694 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 9.79 pp | 27.4 pp | 963 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.78 pp | 21.8 pp | 608 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 10.47 pp | 29.3 pp | 1102 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 6.90 pp | 19.3 pp | 478 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer-149M-Decision-v1 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b | 8.32 pp | 23.3 pp | 697 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 0.00 pp | Not estimable from zero observed variance | Not estimable No observed variance does not prove equivalence or perfect power. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 10.77 pp | 30.2 pp | 1165 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.91 pp | 25.0 pp | 798 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 9.77 pp | 27.4 pp | 959 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 | 8.32 pp | 23.3 pp | 697 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 7.70 pp | 21.6 pp | 595 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 11.00 pp | 30.8 pp | 1216 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 8.38 pp | 23.5 pp | 706 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.01b ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 10.77 pp | 30.2 pp | 1165 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149 | 10.77 pp | 30.2 pp | 1165 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 8.91 pp | 25.0 pp | 798 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 9.77 pp | 27.4 pp | 959 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer139-1.02 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC | 12.25 pp | 34.3 pp | 1507 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 9.38 pp | 26.3 pp | 883 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 9.98 pp | 28.0 pp | 1001 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 | 9.24 pp | 25.9 pp | 858 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149-ARC ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 7.45 pp | 20.9 pp | 558 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
| BoolQ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-45500 ↔ SlayerLab/Slayer149-Balanced-ARC-E-ft-v2 | 6.52 pp | 18.3 pp | 428 Normal approximation; independent representative items assumed. | Not estimated Requires paired per-item timings. |
First-32 examples are not random or necessarily independent. Clustered questions need grouped resampling; stochastic decoding needs repeated generations. Do not treat nominal sample sizes as guarantees. The required number may exceed available independent tasks. A percentage point has a different meaning in different tasks. Item cost projections assume similar lengths, constant model settings and a fixed setup cost; token and task-group metadata are not yet complete.
Evidence profile
| Dimension | Current evidence / next validation |
|---|---|
| Target cohort | The exact paired baseline models shown above; this is not evidence about nearby 100M checkpoints. |
| Validity / coverage | Task contract, pinned dataset and scoring protocol. Independent target-task validation and contamination auditing are not measured here. |
| Local discrimination | Aligned correctness disagreement, paired score difference and exploratory uncertainty. A wider score range alone is insufficient. |
| Floor / ceiling | The pair tables expose both-pass / both-fail counts for this local cohort; these are not population-wide item difficulties. |
| Reliability | One deterministic pilot per system. Prompt/decoding variation, repeated evaluations and training-seed variability are not estimated. |
| Efficiency | Recorded lease/process cost where available; sample-size and cost planning is explicitly projected. |
| Complementarity | Incremental held-out predictive value and suite redundancy require a larger shared model panel. Not estimated. |
| IRT / adaptive selection | Not fitted. First compare random and stratified subset budgets on held-out model families, then test whether IRT improves efficiency. |
How to read these metrics
Cost: GPU lease seconds come from server claim-to-finish timestamps for one reserved GPU slot per job (one-second clock resolution); they include loading, polling and upload overhead. Historical upload-only or inconsistent leases are excluded, not interpreted as zero-cost evaluations. Instrumented GPU-slot seconds are evaluator subprocess wall seconds × one reserved GPU, including setup, data/model loading and CPU scoring. They are not kernel-active seconds. Historical evaluation elapsed is a distinct proxy and not retroactively relabelled. Only completed-run costs are aggregated here; failed-attempt logs remain in the private archive.
Uncertainty: Paired percentile resampling over aligned binary correctness; B minus A; exploratory, no multiple-comparison correction. First valid examples in pinned order, not a random representative sample. The interval describes sensitivity within this pilot, not population confidence on the full benchmark. We use 4000 paired resamples, seed 42. Identical outcomes can produce a zero-width interval without proving equivalence.
Useful information: Correctness disagreement and score separation describe this measured model pair. High disagreement alone does not prove a useful or reliable benchmark. Redundancy, ranking stability and broad information gain need a larger shared model panel and repeated/wider evaluations. This page does not turn these diagnostics into an automatic “best benchmark” score or change queue priority.
Next evidence to collect: a wider shared model panel, repeated runs where decoding is stochastic, broader subsets, ranking stability and incremental coverage beyond existing benchmarks. CER, WER and correlation need their own aggregation-aware diagnostics; binary correctness analysis is not applied to them.
Methodological reading: Adding Error Bars to Evals · tinyBenchmarks · How Reliable is Language Model Micro-Benchmarking? · MetaEval. These motivate further validation; they do not validate our pilot subsets.
Measured batching speedups
Same pinned model, dataset scope and GPU; warmed inference only. Data/model loading and Docker testing excluded. Choice: median of 3 repeats; generation: one run. Numeric changes are possible even with greedy decoding.
Choice batch 16, math batch 8. Code generation remains serial because one 0.5B unit-test outcome changed. Media and embeddings keep existing runners. Agreement on these 32-item pilots is not a guarantee on future examples.
| Model / benchmark | Batch | Serial → batched | Speedup | Changed predictions / outcomes | Peak GPU memory |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B reading · 32 examples | 16 | 0.600s → 0.260s | 2.31× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 1.09 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B commonsense · 32 examples | 16 | 1.125s → 0.164s | 6.87× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 1.13 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B sentiment · 32 examples | 16 | 0.549s → 0.068s | 8.04× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 0.96 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B entailment · 32 examples | 16 | 0.851s → 0.106s | 8.05× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 0.96 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B arc-challenge-choice · 32 examples | 16 | 1.132s → 0.191s | 5.93× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 1.08 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B openbookqa-main-choice · 32 examples | 16 | 1.093s → 0.117s | 9.32× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 1.00 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B math · 32 examples | 8 | 31.587s → 11.094s | 2.85× | 0 / 0 Generated strings / scored outcomes | 0.99 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-0.5B code-generation · 32 examples | 8 | 53.382s → 11.159s | 4.78× | 3 / 1 Generated strings / scored outcomes | 1.00 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B reading · 32 examples | 16 | 1.019s → 0.663s | 1.54× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 3.17 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B commonsense · 32 examples | 16 | 1.275s → 0.386s | 3.30× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 3.08 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B sentiment · 32 examples | 16 | 0.647s → 0.160s | 4.05× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 2.93 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B entailment · 32 examples | 16 | 0.965s → 0.251s | 3.84× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 2.93 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B arc-challenge-choice · 32 examples | 16 | 1.320s → 0.471s | 2.80× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 3.03 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B openbookqa-main-choice · 32 examples | 16 | 1.274s → 0.252s | 5.05× | 0 / 0 Choice labels | 2.95 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B math · 32 examples | 8 | 47.123s → 12.950s | 3.64× | 0 / 0 Generated strings / scored outcomes | 3.00 GiB |
| Qwen/Qwen2.5-1.5B code-generation · 32 examples | 8 | 58.917s → 13.048s | 4.52× | 2 / 0 Generated strings / scored outcomes | 3.00 GiB |
Stable length grouping, a padded-token budget and left-padding masks avoid wasted work. Multiple-choice options share forwards; only answer-position logits are materialised. Math generation uses greedy batches. Models still load per job; resident model reuse and shared-prefix caching remain future optimisations. Raw profiles, repeats and source hashes →